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Opinion: The future of the China-US-Russia triangle after Pelosi's visit to Taiwan

Opinion: The future of the China-US-Russia triangle after Pelosi's visit to Taiwan

Since February 24, 2022, the international community's focus was concentrated entirely on the war in Ukraine and the growing Russia – West confrontation. It seemed that nothing could change the situation until the end of hostilities in Ukraine. However, on August 2 and 3, almost everyone’s attention shifted from Ukraine to Taiwan. As the Speaker of the US House of Representatives, Nancy Pelosi, stated her intention to visit Taiwan, up to half a million people were watching the trajectory of her plane on air flight tracking sites. The negative reaction of China, including the warning of President Xi during his conversation with President Biden that those who played with fire would be perished by it, created hype around this visit. Many were discussing the possibility of Chinese military jets closing the airspace over Taiwan and preventing Pelosi’s plane from landing in Taiwan, while some enthusiasts were even contemplating the possibility of a US-China direct military clash. As Pelosi landed in Taiwan and met with the Taiwanese President, the global social media was full of amateur assessments about the strategic victory of the US and the confirmation of the US global hegemony. However, as the dust settles down, and information noise and manipulation eventually decreases, a more serious assessment is needed to understand the real consequences of this visit.
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News
United States and Iran on the verge of agreement to end hostilities

United States and Iran on the verge of agreement to end hostilities

Updated on 13 June at 1330 CEST=========================== Source quoting Pakistani prime minister Shehbaz Sharif, says the text of a Memorandum between the US and Iran has been agreed, and is likely to be signed in the next 24 hours. Iranian sources are saying that the Memorandum is likely to be signed remotely. ==================== The United States and Iran signaled on Friday that an agreement to end their war was close, with a senior U.S. administration official saying both sides had agreed on a text and that Washington ​expects to sign an initial deal in the coming days. There are reports that the two sides will meet in Geneva in the coming 3-4 days. iAccording to the BBC, the agreement  includes reopening the Strait of Hormuz, Iran's Foreign Minister has said. Seyed Abbas Araghchi told state TV the deal also includes the lifting of a US blockade of Iran, but that talks on Iran's nuclear programme would begin later. US officials have confirmed some of the details of the agreement, saying economic benefits for Iran would depend on Tehran meeting its obligations. The war began with US and Israeli strikes across Iran on 28 February, prompting Iran to attack Israel and US-allied states in the Gulf - as well as effectively closing the Strait of Hormuz, a key shipping route for the world's oil and liquefied gas. Trump says there is "no such thing as dealing in good faith" when it comes to negotiating with the Iranians Despite having agreed a ceasefire in April, the US and Iran have exchanged intermittent fire, including two rounds of tit-for-tat strikes this week. US President Donald Trump said on Thursday that he had cancelled "scheduled attacks" against Iran, because negotiators had "just made a great settlement" - a deal that was likely be to signed imminently. On Friday, Iranian media published some details from the alleged 14-point deal which Trump said had "nothing to do with the terms that were agreed to" and "bears no relation to the truth".
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Event
LINKS Europe webinar on the results of the Armenian elections

LINKS Europe webinar on the results of the Armenian elections

On Thursday (11 June), LINKS Europe held a webinar on the results of the Armenian Parliamentary elections and the role of social media and media during the election period, both in Armenian media and Russian media. The panel was formed by Eleonora Sargsyan, from Armenian Progressive Youth; Dennis Sammut, Director of LINKS Europe; Santiago Ferbel-Azcarate, Senior Research Assistant at LINKS Europe; and Will Murray, founder of Vigeat Europa. The panel was chaired by Alexandra Dumirescu, international coordinator at LINKS Europe. Ms. Sargsyan offered the audience an overall assessment of the election results and the overall political mood in the country. She explained that the key outcome of Armenia's 2026 parliamentary elections was a renewed mandate for continuity. Dr Sammut described the 2026 parliamentary elections as a good election that strengthened Armenia's democratic process and produced a clear result. Yet he identified three issues that require serious attention. The webinar moved on to two presentations. Mr Ferbel-Azcarate shared a presentation titled 'Social media usage and Armenia's 2026 election'. This was followed by a presentation on how the Russian media discussed the Armenian elections by Will Murray from Vigeat Europa. (To read the full summary of the webinar, click on the image above)