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Opinion: The future of the China-US-Russia triangle after Pelosi's visit to Taiwan

Opinion: The future of the China-US-Russia triangle after Pelosi's visit to Taiwan

Since February 24, 2022, the international community's focus was concentrated entirely on the war in Ukraine and the growing Russia – West confrontation. It seemed that nothing could change the situation until the end of hostilities in Ukraine. However, on August 2 and 3, almost everyone’s attention shifted from Ukraine to Taiwan. As the Speaker of the US House of Representatives, Nancy Pelosi, stated her intention to visit Taiwan, up to half a million people were watching the trajectory of her plane on air flight tracking sites. The negative reaction of China, including the warning of President Xi during his conversation with President Biden that those who played with fire would be perished by it, created hype around this visit. Many were discussing the possibility of Chinese military jets closing the airspace over Taiwan and preventing Pelosi’s plane from landing in Taiwan, while some enthusiasts were even contemplating the possibility of a US-China direct military clash. As Pelosi landed in Taiwan and met with the Taiwanese President, the global social media was full of amateur assessments about the strategic victory of the US and the confirmation of the US global hegemony. However, as the dust settles down, and information noise and manipulation eventually decreases, a more serious assessment is needed to understand the real consequences of this visit.
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Analysis
G7 summit turning out not was expected with Israel-Iran conflict on everyone's mind

G7 summit turning out not was expected with Israel-Iran conflict on everyone's mind

Leaders of the G7  countries meet in Canada this week, for a summit that is not quite what they had expected, with the Israel-Iran conflict being on everyone’s mind. The leaders of Britain, France, Germany, Italy, Canada and Japan and the European Union will be there, and of course, the president of the United States Donald Trump. Mark Carney, the new Canadian Prime Minister, had planned fo talks in the wilderness retreat of Kananaskis, that avoided rows with Mr Trump. Much of the agenda was non-controversial, about energy security, protecting mineral supply chains, accelerating the digital transition and tackling forest fires. However, Israel's decision to attack Iran will force the Group of Seven western powers to spend less time on other issues and instead discuss ways of managing the conflict. Canadian officials, still bruised by the experience of the last G7 summit that they hosted in 2018, even decided not to have a summit communique to avoid textual disputes dominating the gathering. On that occasion, Mr Trump in his first stint in office stormed out early and, on the plane home, withdrew his support for the summit communique. Instead, world leaders will agree a number of "short, action-oriented statements" that maintain consensus and ignore divisive issues. That now seems also to be overambitious. The G7 leaders, due to arrive in Canada on Sunday, know the global security and economic risks if this conflict escalates, dragging in other countries, sending oil prices soaring. Other leaders are also attending the summit as guests, including from Mexico, India, Australia, South Africa, South Korea, Ukraine and Brazil. Many of them have their own problems with Mr Trump.
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News
Clouds of war gather in the Middle East

Clouds of war gather in the Middle East

Iran  has responded to Israeli attacks on Thursday night, firing missiles at targets in Israel, including in Tel Aviv and Jerusalem, Both side say that civilians got killed in the attacks. Clouds of war are now gathering across the Middle East  and there is fear that this conflict may expand to other players. The Iranian FARS News agency quoted the new commander of the Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) as saying that Iran would would take Israel to the gates of hell over the latter’s deadly onslaught against Tehran which led to the death of senior military commanders, including the IRGC own commander, Major General Hossein Salami.