Ramil Safarov release will have wide political implications. Armenia breaks off diplomatic relations with Hungary.

Ramil Safarov, the Azerbaijani military officer who in 2004 hacked to death an Armenian officer in his sleep whilst both were attending a NATO course in Hungary is now a free man. On Friday he was sent back to Azerbaijan by the Hungarian authorities. 

Safarov was found guilty and sentenced to life imprisonment by a Hungarian Court. The Hungarian government this week agreed to send him back to continue finishing his sentence in Azerbaijan. On arrival back in Baku he was pardoned by President Ilham Aliev and released.

Commonspace political editor made the following comment:

"This is the latest chapter in a drama that has stirred many emotional problems in both Armenia and Azerbaijan. In Armenia Safarov's action re-enforced images of Armenian suffering at the hands of Turkic people. When the murder took place in 2004 emotions in Armenia ran high and the President at the time, Robert Kocharian, famously said that it shows that Armenians and Azerbaijanis were genetically different.

In Azerbaijan however the murder was seen as a heroic act, part of the process of retribution against the humiliation that Azerbaijan suffered at the hands of Armenia in the war over Nagorno-Karabakh, and the subsequent loss of territory.

The incident took both governments by surprise and for a moment at the time it seemed as if the leaderships in Baku and Yerevan had lost control of the situation and were simply reacting to popular emotions.

The situation now is quite different. The decision to release Safarov immediately on his arrival in Baku was a decision taken by the Azerbaijani President. The President is being credited for masterminding the release of Safarov and for persuading the Hungarian leadership to sent him back. The decision is very popular in Azerbaijan and the President is seen as a hero for his actions. Azerbaijnai government officials are reminding people that the fact that Hungary agreed to send Safarov to Baku is an example of the high regard and influence of Azerbaijani Foreign policy

Hungary says that it had assurances from the Azerbaijani government that he would serve the rest of his sentence in an Azerbaijani jail, but that in the end once he was sent back he became the responsability of the Azerbaijani legal system.

Armenia is blaming the Hungarian government and has broken off diplomatic relations. There will be immense pressure now on President Serz Sargsyan to do more. Sargsyan is facing elections in less than six months time. This could not have come at a worse time for him and he will need to be seen acting toughly in this or otherwise he is politically doomed.

The release of Safarov will have implications on the region, on Armenian-Azerbaijani relations, on the politics of the two countries and on their international relations."

source: commonspace.eu

photo: A hero's welcome for Safarov in Baku (picture courtesyu of the BBC).

Related articles

Editor's choice
News
COP 17 in Armenia

COP 17 in Armenia

Armenia is currently hosting the COP17 conference of the Convention on Biological Diversity, which began earlier this week (19 October) and will run until 30 October, bringing around 15,000 participants from 196 different countries to Yerevan. At a leaders' summit held as part of COP17, Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan expressed realistic ambitions: “We are halfway towards achieving these goals (Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework), and we must honestly acknowledge that we are not yet moving in the right direction. Our task now is not to make new promises, but to fulfil the commitments we have already made.” Pashinyan pointed towards Armenia's own records, noting that the whitefish stock in Lake Sevan has increased substantially in the last ten years. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian and Georgian Prime Minister Irakli Kobakhidze also addressed the summit, with Turkiye sending its agriculture minister. However, there were no reports of Azerbaijani representatives attending. The conference has given Yerevan a valuable international platform, yet the absence of Azerbaijan is likely to be read as a sign that the peace process in the South Caucasus has not yet been translated into wider regional cooperation. The leaders' summit was opened by Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, who stressed that hosting the conference was a great honour for Armenia. He expressed hope that it would 'be productive and contribute to protecting our planet's biodiversity'. 'We – the citizens of Armenia, the government, state authorities and local governments – owe a debt to our nature,' the prime minister said. He noted that the international community had already developed the concept of 'living in harmony with nature’ and adopted the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework in 2022, setting out goals and specific targets to be achieved by 2030. 'We are halfway towards achieving these goals, and we must honestly acknowledge that we are not yet moving in the right direction. Our task now is not to make new promises, but to fulfil the commitments we have already made,' Nikol Pashinyan said. The COP17 conference is expected to adopt a declaration at leaders' level. More than 30 documents are scheduled for discussion. If approved, the commitments set out in them will become legally binding on countries that are parties to the Convention on Biological Diversity.”
Editor's choice
News
Landmines present to the European Union both a contradiction and a dilemma

Landmines present to the European Union both a contradiction and a dilemma

Finland’s decision to buy one million landmines creates a serious contradiction in the policy of the European Union, and is symbolic of a bigger dilemma facing European countries as they get used to the need to acquire “hard” power to face an increasing threat from Russia. Finland is seeking to acquire one million anti-personnel mines at a cost of 100 million euros. Finland, together with Poland, Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia last year abandoned the Ottawa agreement, the international framework that bans the use of anti-personnel mines, which the EU had been instrumental in establishing and supporting. All five countries cite the threat from Moscow as the reason. Colonel Riku Mikkonen of the Army Command told Finland’s national news agency STT that officials are now gathering information from suppliers regarding the deal, the AFP news agency reports. Helsinki would like domestic manufacturers to supply the mines, with contracts signed by the end of 2027 and production up and running by 2028. “It would be useful in many ways if Finnish companies produced the anti-personnel mines in Finland,” Mikkonen said. About half a dozen Finnish firms qualify, he told STT. “However, at this stage, buying the mines from abroad is not totally ruled out,” he added. LANDMINES PROVIDE THE EU WITH BOTH A CONTRADICTION, AND A DILEMMA Eliminating landmine contamination worldwide is one of the EU’s main soft power postures, and it basks in its record as the biggest funder of anti-landmine action in the world. But the fact that 5 of its 27 member states  have now left the Ottawa Treaty dents the EU moral high ground. It is a contradiction that is too big and important to be ignored. It also presents the European Union with a deeper dilemma. The threat from Russia is changing what the EU has stood for decades, namely a force for good able to mobilise its considerable soft power for the greater good of humanity. How the Union will implement this change will define its future. In the meantime landmines have not become any less lethal, benign, or unimportant. They remain in many parts of the world a major threat to life, an impediment to prosperity, and a potential trigger to further conflict. The 22 EU members states that still adhere to the Ottawa treaty must regroup, and be more assertive in their quest against anti-personnel land mines. All the reasons why they supported the Ottawa treaty in the first place still exist. The message must be clear: NO TO LANDMINES!

Popular

Editor's choice
Interview
Thursday Interview: Murad Muradov

Thursday Interview: Murad Muradov

Today, commonspace.eu starts a new regular weekly series. THURSDAY INTERVIEW, conducted by Lauri Nikulainen, will host  persons who are thinkers, opinion shapers, and implementors in their countries and spheres. We start the series with an interview with Murad Muradov, a leading person in Azerbaijan's think tank community. He is also the first co-chair of the Action Committee for a new Armenian-Azerbaijani Dialogue. Last September he made history by being the first Azerbaijani civil society activist to visit Armenia after the 44 day war, and the start of the peace process. Speaking about this visit Murad Muradov said: "My experience was largely positive. My negative expectations luckily didn’t play out. The discussions were respectful, the panel format bringing together experts from Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Turkey was particularly valuable during the NATO Rose-Roth Seminar in Yerevan, and media coverage, while varied in tone, remained largely constructive. Some media outlets though attempted to represent me as more of a government mouthpiece than an independent expert, which was totally misleading.  Overall, I see these initiatives as important steps in rebuilding trust and normalising professional engagement. The fact that soon a larger Azerbaijani civil society visits to Armenia followed, reinforces the sense that this process is moving in the right direction." (click the image to read the interview in full)