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International expert:

International expert:

19 January 2012

The offensive on Iran would have far-reaching consequences and would send shockwaves throughout the region even without being compounded by the renewed hostilities in Nagorno Karabakh, Jana Kobzova, expert at European Council for Foreign Relations, told ArmInfo. 

Proceeding with the possible developments if case of an attack on Iran, she said the option of another war over Nagorno Karabakh has been on table ever since the hostilities ceased in early 1990s. On the other hand, both Armenia and Azerbaijan are mostly trying to promote the settlement of the conflict in a peaceful. "While the risk of accidental war cannot be excluded, I don't think it's very likely that Azerbaijan's government would pursue such a brinkmanship strategy vis-a-vis Nagorno Karabakh - it would harm their own interests including possibly energy transit infrastructure, thus risking not only Azerbaijan's image (being portrayed as an aggressor) but also its image of a reliable gas and oil exporter, Kobzova said.

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