Russian political expert: Karabakh conflict may grow into military actions only in case of big Iranian war

Resumption of military actions in the Karabakh conflict zone is possible only if U.S. unleashes large-scale Iranian war, Vladimir Zakharov, Director of the Institute of Political Studies of the Black Sea and Caspian Region, told ArmInfo. 

Since 1992 the OSCE Minsk Group represented by co-chairs from Russia, U.S. and France has been mediating in resolution of the conflict unleashed by Azerbaijan in 1988. At present the peace process is based on the Madrid Principles suggested by the OSCE MG in 2007 in Madrid and renovated in 2009.

"Before that Baku's pretensions will not go beyond exchange of fire and subversive actions on the line of contact with the Karabakh troops. In Karabakh they have already got used to such displays of aggression. I am sure that the citizens of NKR will show a proper rebuff in case of necessity," he said.

Forecasting the scenario of U.S. adventure against the Islamic Republic, Zakharov said that it may happen in the pre-election period as Democrat Obama needs to maintain his falling rating. Another reason that may make the United States attack Iran is the big external and internal debt of the USA that has exceeded 100% of GDP, Zakharov said. The U.S. economy supports dollar by some 5%-7% and the only way out is war.

"If the U.S. unleashes war against Iran, billions of dollars of the internal debt will be written off for the war.  Billions of dollars will be written off also for the factors accompanying the war", Zakharov said.  He is sure that Azerbaijan will launch military actions against NKR if the U.S. unleashes war against Iran.  The so-called peacekeepers consisting of Americans will be immediately deployed in the region. "By the way, the U.S. militaries have been feeling themselves fine in the territory of both Armenia and Azerbaijan for a long time already. So, it will not take long moving them close to the NKR border," Zakharov said.

The total state debt of the USA reached 15 trillion dollars in 2012 exceeding 100% of that country's GDP.