Commentary: American mid-term elections enable continued strong US leadership at a time of global turmoil

The US mid-term elections held last week were expected to be a disaster for US president Joe Biden and his Democratic administration. A Republican surge was expected to sweep the party to comfortable majorities in both the Senate and the House of Representatives. In the end none of this happened. The outcome of the election means that the gridlock that some had been predicting between President and Congress on many issues, including foreign and security policy is now not likely to happen, or in any case not on a scale to be a concern. In this Monday Commentary for commonspace.eu Dennis Sammut says that this is important not only for the United States, but also for the world. The current global situation is complicated and challenging, and US leadership is needed more than ever. Leadership is not hegemony. Nobody wants the US to dictate and impose its views on the world. Multipolarity, which some speak so enthusiastically about, should not be about how many nuclear missiles countries can point on each other, but rather on a competition of ideas and models. In this the world needs diversity. Yes, there are universal values, and these are already recognised in a number of documents adopted by nearly all countries, but on many issues there is room, and even need, for diversity.

The US mid-term elections held last week were expected to be a disaster for US president Joe Biden and his Democratic administration. A Republican surge was expected to sweep the party to comfortable majorities in both the Senate and the House of Representatives. In the end none of this happened. The Democrats maintained control of the Senate, and although they may have lost their majority in the House, it is likely to be by the narrowest of margins, which would still allow many deals to be made on a bi-partisan level.

The reasons for this have been analysed in detail by many experts and observers: the Trump factor, the threat to the right of choice on abortion; mixed economic realities, etc.

But whatever the reasons, the outcome of the election means that the gridlock that some had been predicting between President and Congress on many issues, including foreign and security policy is now not likely to happen, or in any case not on a scale to be a concern.

This is important not only for the United States, but also for the world. The current global situation is complicated and challenging, and US leadership is needed more than ever. Yes, Europe can and should in the future share in both the leadership role, and the responsibilities that go with it, but the EU is not ready for this yet, so that role for some time yet needs to be continued to be played by the United States.

Leadership is not hegemony. Nobody wants the US to dictate and impose its views on the world. Multipolarity, which some speak so enthusiastically about, should not be about how many nuclear missiles countries can point on each other, but rather on a competition of ideas and models. In this the world needs diversity. Yes, there are universal values, and these are already recognised in a number of documents adopted by nearly all countries, but on many issues there is room, and even need, for diversity.

If leadership is not hegemony, what is it?

It is first about the willingness and ability to galvanise and mobilise the international community at a time of crisis. The US, and the EU, have been doing that on Ukraine this year. It meant standing up to Russia.

Leadership is also about leading from the front, by example, by policies, and by resources, on key global issues such as climate change.

Leadership is about being on the forefront in promoting and supporting a rules-based international system.

The Biden administration has shown it can do this. Even taking into account the doubtful decision to withdraw, many say prematurely, from Afghanistan, its track record to date has been overall positive.

Joe Biden can sometimes look like a confused president, confusing Cambodia with Colombia and other slips of the tongue. But in fact he has a grip on his foreign policy brief, and even more importantly, he has a dynamic and effective foreign policy team not seen in the US for some time. This team has projected an image of a US foreign policy that is coherent, co-ordinated and effective. It has built bridges with allies, that had been all but destroyed during the Trump years. In short, it has provided leadership at a crucial time in world history.

The new Congress will not change that very much. There may be a nuance here or there, but overall we expect the next two years of Biden to be continuity of the last two. For many world leaders who have come to depend on US leadership, that is a relief. But the US can be neither complacent nor arrogant. The current situation demands hard work and a humility in engaging with the international community which would allow for broad consensus on key global issues to emerge, and for spoilers in the international system, for example Russia, to be challenged.

 

Source: Dr Dennis Sammut is Managing Editor of commonspace.eu and Director of LINKS Europe based in The Hague. He writes regularly on European and international security issues, the EU’s policy and strategy towards its neighbourhood and Gulf affairs. (director@links-europe.eu)
Photo: US president Joe Biden, emboldened by the results of the mid-term elections travelled to Sharm El Sheikh in Egypt last week to address the COP27 conference on climate change.
Monday Commentary is a personal opinion, and does not necessarily reflect the views of commonspace.eu or its partners and supporters

Related articles

Editor's choice
News
Borrell tells the European Parliament that the situation in Afghanistan was critical, but the EU will remain engaged

Borrell tells the European Parliament that the situation in Afghanistan was critical, but the EU will remain engaged

Borrell underlined that the European Union will make every effort to support the peace process and to remain a committed partner to the Afghan people. "Of course, we will have to take into account the evolving situation, but disengagement is not an option.  We are clear on that: there is no alternative to a negotiated political settlement, through inclusive peace talks.
Editor's choice
News
Germany accuses Russia of cyberattacks and disinformation campaign

Germany accuses Russia of cyberattacks and disinformation campaign

The German government holds Russia responsible for a cyberattack on German air traffic control, and for targeted disinformation campaigns before the last federal election. According to the German Foreign Office in Berlin, the incidents could be clearly attributed to the Russian military intelligence service, the GRU. In response, the Russian ambassador to Berlin was summoned to the Foreign Ministry. "We have been observing a massive increase in threatening hybrid activities by Russia for some time now," a spokesperson for the Foreign Ministry stated. These range from disinformation campaigns and espionage to cyberattacks and sabotage attempts. The aim is to divide society, sow distrust, and undermine confidence in democratic institutions. The spokesperson added that with these actions, Russia is "very concretely threatening our security, not only through its war of aggression against Ukraine, but also here in Germany."  The Foreign Ministry spokesperson explained that the cyberattack on air traffic control in August 2024 was clearly attributed to the hacker collective "APT28," known as "Fancy Bear," and to the responsibility of the Russian military intelligence service, the GRU. Furthermore, it could now be "conclusively stated" that Russia had attempted "to influence and destabilize both the last Federal election and the ongoing internal affairs of the Federal Republic of Germany." There was "absolutely irrefutable evidence" for this". The so-called "Storm 1516" campaign, which has been running since 2024, is allegedly backed by "reliable information" that the Moscow-based think tank "Center for Geopolitical Expertise" is behind it. The Center is also said to be supported by Russian military intelligence. Its primary aim is to influence democratic elections in the West. (Click the image to read more).

Popular

Editor's choice
News
Germany accuses Russia of cyberattacks and disinformation campaign

Germany accuses Russia of cyberattacks and disinformation campaign

The German government holds Russia responsible for a cyberattack on German air traffic control, and for targeted disinformation campaigns before the last federal election. According to the German Foreign Office in Berlin, the incidents could be clearly attributed to the Russian military intelligence service, the GRU. In response, the Russian ambassador to Berlin was summoned to the Foreign Ministry. "We have been observing a massive increase in threatening hybrid activities by Russia for some time now," a spokesperson for the Foreign Ministry stated. These range from disinformation campaigns and espionage to cyberattacks and sabotage attempts. The aim is to divide society, sow distrust, and undermine confidence in democratic institutions. The spokesperson added that with these actions, Russia is "very concretely threatening our security, not only through its war of aggression against Ukraine, but also here in Germany."  The Foreign Ministry spokesperson explained that the cyberattack on air traffic control in August 2024 was clearly attributed to the hacker collective "APT28," known as "Fancy Bear," and to the responsibility of the Russian military intelligence service, the GRU. Furthermore, it could now be "conclusively stated" that Russia had attempted "to influence and destabilize both the last Federal election and the ongoing internal affairs of the Federal Republic of Germany." There was "absolutely irrefutable evidence" for this". The so-called "Storm 1516" campaign, which has been running since 2024, is allegedly backed by "reliable information" that the Moscow-based think tank "Center for Geopolitical Expertise" is behind it. The Center is also said to be supported by Russian military intelligence. Its primary aim is to influence democratic elections in the West. (Click the image to read more).