A very dangerous moment - in fiction and in fact!

The President of Armenia Serzh Sargsyan on  Thursday evening (3 September), chaired a meeting of Armenia's National Security Council. It was part of an ongoing training exercise called "Shant 2015" that is meant to test the readiness of Armenia's command and control system in the face of agression from an unnamed adversary. The exercise involves also evacuating large numbers of civilians from areas where this fictitious conflict is supposed to be taking place. That is where fiction ends. On Thursday however, apart from reviewing and participating in the exercise, the Armenian President and his entourage also had to deal with the facts: a hightened state of tension on the front line between Armenian and Azerbaijani forces in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict zone and across other parts of the border. It was reported that the President heard reports of the situation and gave instructions to his commanders.

Armenia continues to report incidents and casualties, especially in the northern sector of its border with Azerbaijan. It claims that Azerbaijani forces fired more than 1800 shots towards its positions in the last twenty four hours and that one soldier and three civilians were injured. It had already reported one military dead and several civilians injured the night before. Fact and fiction blended together especially in areas in Tavoush district where people were reportedly confused as to what was happening as part of an exercise and what was happening in fact. The spokesperson for the Armenian Ministry of Defence called for calm, and said there was no need to panic because whilst there was tension on the border, a lot of what was going on was simply a training exercise.

Azerbaijan is currently also holding its own training exercises, involving a large number of aircraft from Azerbaijan and Turkey. These are due to continue until next week. It also accuses Armenia of violating the cease fire, and claims that last night the rooftops of 150 houses were riddled with bullets in the village of Alibeyli in the Tovuz District and that two elderly persons were hit by schrapnel and hospitalised.

There is no doubt that this is a very dangerous moment in the Karabakh conflict.  The military exercises being held by both sides add drama to the real fighting that is ongoing and close the gap between fact and fiction. It is not going to require much for fiction to become fact.

source: commonspace.eu

photo: Armenian President Serzh Sargsyan at a meeting of the Armenian National Security Council held on 3 September 2015 as part of a large scale military exercise called Shant 2015. In the course of the meeting the President however also had to deal with a number of real incidents happening on the front line (picture courtesy of the Press Service of the Republic of Armenia).

Related articles

Editor's choice
News
Borrell tells the European Parliament that the situation in Afghanistan was critical, but the EU will remain engaged

Borrell tells the European Parliament that the situation in Afghanistan was critical, but the EU will remain engaged

Borrell underlined that the European Union will make every effort to support the peace process and to remain a committed partner to the Afghan people. "Of course, we will have to take into account the evolving situation, but disengagement is not an option.  We are clear on that: there is no alternative to a negotiated political settlement, through inclusive peace talks.
Editor's choice
News
NATO Chief says war is on Europe's doorstep, and warns against complacency

NATO Chief says war is on Europe's doorstep, and warns against complacency

Russia could attack a NATO country within the next five years, the Secretary General of NATO, Mark Rutte, said in a stark new warning. "NATO's own defences can hold for now," Rutte warned in Berlin, but conflict was "next door" to Europe, and he feared "too many are quietly complacent, and too many don't feel the urgency, too many believe that time is on our side. "Russia is already escalating its covert campaign against our societies," Rutte said in a speech in Germany. "We must be prepared for the scale of war our grandparents or great-grandparents endured." Earlier this month, Russia's President Vladimir Putin said his country was not planning to go to war with Europe, but it was ready "right now" if Europe wanted to - or started a war. But similar reassurances were given by Moscow in 2022, just before 200,000 Russian troops crossed the border and invaded Ukraine. Putin has accused European countries of hindering US efforts to bring peace in Ukraine - a reference to the role Ukraine's European allies have recently played in trying to change a US peace plan to end the war, whose initial draft was seen as favouring Russia. But Putin was not sincere, Nato's secretary-general said in the German capital, Berlin. Supporting Ukraine, he added, was a guarantee for European security. "Just imagine if Putin got his way; Ukraine under the boot of Russian occupation, his forces pressing against a longer border with Nato, and the significantly increased risk of an armed attack against us." Russia's economy has been on a war footing for more than three years now - its factories churn out ever more supplies of drones, missiles and artillery shells. According to a recent report by the Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Russia has been producing each month around 150 tanks, 550 infantry fighting vehicles, 120 Lancet drones and more than 50 artillery pieces. The UK, and most of its Western allies, are simply not anywhere near this point. Analysts say it would take years for Western Europe's factories to come close to matching Russia's mass-production of weapons. "Allied defence spending and production must rise rapidly, our armed forces must have what they need to keep us safe," the Nato chief said.

Popular

Editor's choice
News
NATO Chief says war is on Europe's doorstep, and warns against complacency

NATO Chief says war is on Europe's doorstep, and warns against complacency

Russia could attack a NATO country within the next five years, the Secretary General of NATO, Mark Rutte, said in a stark new warning. "NATO's own defences can hold for now," Rutte warned in Berlin, but conflict was "next door" to Europe, and he feared "too many are quietly complacent, and too many don't feel the urgency, too many believe that time is on our side. "Russia is already escalating its covert campaign against our societies," Rutte said in a speech in Germany. "We must be prepared for the scale of war our grandparents or great-grandparents endured." Earlier this month, Russia's President Vladimir Putin said his country was not planning to go to war with Europe, but it was ready "right now" if Europe wanted to - or started a war. But similar reassurances were given by Moscow in 2022, just before 200,000 Russian troops crossed the border and invaded Ukraine. Putin has accused European countries of hindering US efforts to bring peace in Ukraine - a reference to the role Ukraine's European allies have recently played in trying to change a US peace plan to end the war, whose initial draft was seen as favouring Russia. But Putin was not sincere, Nato's secretary-general said in the German capital, Berlin. Supporting Ukraine, he added, was a guarantee for European security. "Just imagine if Putin got his way; Ukraine under the boot of Russian occupation, his forces pressing against a longer border with Nato, and the significantly increased risk of an armed attack against us." Russia's economy has been on a war footing for more than three years now - its factories churn out ever more supplies of drones, missiles and artillery shells. According to a recent report by the Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Russia has been producing each month around 150 tanks, 550 infantry fighting vehicles, 120 Lancet drones and more than 50 artillery pieces. The UK, and most of its Western allies, are simply not anywhere near this point. Analysts say it would take years for Western Europe's factories to come close to matching Russia's mass-production of weapons. "Allied defence spending and production must rise rapidly, our armed forces must have what they need to keep us safe," the Nato chief said.