The war of words between Yerevan and Baku has taken a dangerous turn. What is the end-game behind the tough language?

Commentary by commonspace.eu political editor

The war of words between Armenians and Azerbaijanis has been going on for years now. Sometimes it reaches new heights, at other times it abets. To some extent people have got used to it, and like other things that one gets used to, in many ways it stopped being important.

But something very bad has been happening in recent weeks and days. The vitriolic language is now being used by the two Presidents themselves. Recent statements by both President Sargsyan of Armenia and President Aliev of Azerbaijan are significant not only for the tough message that they conveyed, but also for an unfortunate use of words aimed at each other, and each other's countries. Sargsyan and Aliev are rational men, not given to either hysteria or impulse. This makes this development rather more ominous.

Some explain this as posturing towards domestic audiences, and indeed a lot of is that. But neither man is naïve not to understand that their speeches are read carefully on the other side as well. The legitimate question therefore arises, what is the end game here?

Everybody is aware that the peace process is in deadlock. International efforts to resolve the conflict between the two countries continue, but the process seems to be in a quagmire and it is not clear how the sides are going to be able to come out of that. In these circumstances there is a need for calm and caution.

Presidents Aliev and Sargsyan are likely to be leading their countries in the immediate future and for some time to come. Any peace negotiations to be meaningful will at some stage need to be conducted by the two of them personally. They must not therefore make this eventuality even more difficult than it presently is, or even impossible. That there are serious disagreements between the two sides is well known. These disagreements however can only be resolved by negotiations and the Presidents need to act in a way that will make these negotiations possible.

source: This commentary was prepared by the political editor of commonspace.eu

photo: President Aliec and President Sargsyan in better times, shaking hands after one of their meetings several years ago.

Related articles

Editor's choice
News
Despite crisis, Lebanon takes the lead to become first country in the Middle East to abolish the death penalty

Despite crisis, Lebanon takes the lead to become first country in the Middle East to abolish the death penalty

Lebanon's parliament has voted to abolish the death penalty, a move that would make it the first country in the Middle East to formally end capital punishment. A majority of MPs in the 128-seat parliament backed the measure on Tuesday (11 August), while Hezbollah's parliamentary bloc voted against it. The legislation will now go to the cabinet before being passed to President Joseph Aoun for signing. The government has already expressed its support for the measure. Lebanon has not carried out an execution since January 2004, although courts have continued to hand down death sentences. Rights groups estimate that more than 78 people remain on death row. Under the new legislation, capital punishment will be replaced with life imprisonment with hard labour. However, the legislation does not yet set out in detail how the new sentence would be enforced. Hard labour is already written into Lebanese law but has rarely been implemented in recent years. The country's financial crisis and overcrowded prisons have limited the authorities' resources and capacity. The latest legislation follows years of campaigning by civil society groups and lawyers for the removal of capital punishment from Lebanese law. (click image to read more)

Popular

Editor's choice
Interview
Thursday Interview: Murad Muradov

Thursday Interview: Murad Muradov

Today, commonspace.eu starts a new regular weekly series. THURSDAY INTERVIEW, conducted by Lauri Nikulainen, will host  persons who are thinkers, opinion shapers, and implementors in their countries and spheres. We start the series with an interview with Murad Muradov, a leading person in Azerbaijan's think tank community. He is also the first co-chair of the Action Committee for a new Armenian-Azerbaijani Dialogue. Last September he made history by being the first Azerbaijani civil society activist to visit Armenia after the 44 day war, and the start of the peace process. Speaking about this visit Murad Muradov said: "My experience was largely positive. My negative expectations luckily didn’t play out. The discussions were respectful, the panel format bringing together experts from Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Turkey was particularly valuable during the NATO Rose-Roth Seminar in Yerevan, and media coverage, while varied in tone, remained largely constructive. Some media outlets though attempted to represent me as more of a government mouthpiece than an independent expert, which was totally misleading.  Overall, I see these initiatives as important steps in rebuilding trust and normalising professional engagement. The fact that soon a larger Azerbaijani civil society visits to Armenia followed, reinforces the sense that this process is moving in the right direction." (click the image to read the interview in full)