A feeling of deja vue in the Caucasus as US beats war drums on Iran

The last few weeks have seen increased tension in relations between the United States and Iran. A US Navy carrier group has been deployed in the Persian Gulf as both sides trade accusations of malintent. "War drums are beating louder in Washington's long-festering standoff with Iran and National Security Advisor John Bolton, a veteran champion of regime change, is the bandmaster", says France24 news channel. "When it comes to Iran, the White House seems to be bristling for conflict. Trump pulled out of an international agreement regulating Iran's nuclear activities, ramped up sanctions crippling the country's economy, and now has added the threat of firepower to increase the pressure. Having backed Iran into a corner, the Trump administration is warning of severe consequences should Tehran harm US interests. On Sunday, mysterious attacks by unknown assailants against four ships, including two from Saudi Arabia, sent war talk up another notch", the French news channel reports.

The governments in the South Caucasus are looking at developments with a sense of trepidation, and deja vue. All three have important trade and commercial relations with Iran, and the prospect of an all-out confrontation between the Islamic Republic and the US puts all three in a difficult position. There have been similar situations in the past, and in some sense the current situation is easier for the three South Caucasus countries to handle. In the current stand-off, the US remains alone, with Europe, China and Russia reluctant to jump on the bandwagon.

Of the three countries, Armenia appears to be the most vulnerable in case of an escalation. The recently appointed US Ambassador in Yerevan has tried to give some assurances: "The United States understands that the southern border is very important for Armenia, for its trade and security relationship with Iran", U.S. Ambassador to Armenia Lynne Tracy said when asked how US-Iran relations could affect Armenia. "We are not asking Armenia to cut off its trade with Iran. We have no interest in interfering with legitimate trade between this nation and very important neighbour," she said while presenting the priorities of her mission in Armenia. The American diplomat said Washington is asking international partners "to join with us in opposing behaviour, in countries near and far, that is destabilising and that is not consistent of what we expect from a government that wants to be a part of international community", the news.am website reported.

source: commonspace.eu with agencies

photo: The US has deployed a US Carrier Task force to the Persian Gulf as the White House beats the war drums (archive picture)

 

Related articles

Editor's choice
News
Borrell tells the European Parliament that the situation in Afghanistan was critical, but the EU will remain engaged

Borrell tells the European Parliament that the situation in Afghanistan was critical, but the EU will remain engaged

Borrell underlined that the European Union will make every effort to support the peace process and to remain a committed partner to the Afghan people. "Of course, we will have to take into account the evolving situation, but disengagement is not an option.  We are clear on that: there is no alternative to a negotiated political settlement, through inclusive peace talks.
Editor's choice
News
US threatens to give up mediation efforts unless Russia and Ukraine put forward "concrete proposals”

US threatens to give up mediation efforts unless Russia and Ukraine put forward "concrete proposals”

Secretary of State Marco Rubio warned on Tuesday that the United States would give up on mediation unless Russia and Ukraine put forward "concrete proposals," as US patience wanes on an early priority for Donald Trump. The US president had vowed to end the war in his first 24 hours back in the White House but, as Trump celebrates 100 days in office, Rubio has suggested the administration could soon turn attention to other issues.

Popular

Editor's choice
News
US threatens to give up mediation efforts unless Russia and Ukraine put forward "concrete proposals”

US threatens to give up mediation efforts unless Russia and Ukraine put forward "concrete proposals”

Secretary of State Marco Rubio warned on Tuesday that the United States would give up on mediation unless Russia and Ukraine put forward "concrete proposals," as US patience wanes on an early priority for Donald Trump. The US president had vowed to end the war in his first 24 hours back in the White House but, as Trump celebrates 100 days in office, Rubio has suggested the administration could soon turn attention to other issues.