TURKEY'S CRISIS MOMENT PASSES

Turkey's Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan, yesterday chaired a three hour meeting of his security team to discuss an escalating security situation in the country's Kurdish populated regions. The meeting took place only hours after the country's Supreme Military Council, which the Prime Minister also chairs, filled the vacancies created last week with the resignation of the Chief of Staff of the Armed Forces, and the heads of the Army, Navy and Air Force.

The resignations came at the end of a period of stand-off between the military and the civilian government headed by Erdogan. Emboldened by his recent re-election victory Erdogan had refused the recommendations of the senior military command to promote officers who were implicated in planning a coup against the civilian government in 2003, and in later attempts to undermine the AK Party administration. Forty one Generals or former Generals, and many other senior officers,  are at the moment behind bars in connection with investigations around these plots.

Whilst some in Turkey saw the resignations as a serious moment of crisis, Erdogan used the situation to assert, probably for the first time since Ataturk, the control of the civilian government over the Armed Forces. The government used the scheduled meeting of the Supreme Military Council to quickly fill the vacancies, and to proceed with further promotions in the military which even government critics admit showed that the "established rules of succession were not profoundly shaken". Thus whilst standing firm, Erdogan has also been able to defuse the crisis and to ensure the support of the military in the face of an increasing security threat in the country's southeast.

There have been several serious incidents in the predominantly Kurdish poplulated regions since the Parliamentary elections in June. A number of independent MPs elected in the Kurdish areas have been denied their parliamentary mandates, and some have been jailed, for supporting the PKK, considered by the Turkish government as a terrorist organisation. There have been a number of serious PKK attacks since, which have left many Turkish soldiers dead or wounded.

Turkey is playing an increasingly important role as a regional power in the Middle East and the in Caucasus. Erdogan's victory is likely to help consolidate  the government's position of zero problems with neighbours and increasing use of Turkish "soft power" in projecting Turkish influence in the region. Erdogan however faces a number of immediate challenges in this regard also, including an ongoing crisis in Syria and a failure to unblock problems with Armenia.

This week's standoff with the military also overshadowed problems in the economic sphere which on Wednesday saw the Turkish Central Bank intervening to protect the Turkish lira in the face of ongoing global economic problems  and a widening gap in the Turkish current account balances.


prepared by the newsroom of commonspace.eu

photo: Prime Minister Erdogan chairing a meeting of his security team in Ankara yesterday (4 August 2011) Photo courtesy of the Press Office of the Prime Minister of Turkey

(c) commonspace.eu

Related articles

Editor's choice
News
Germany accuses Russia of cyberattacks and disinformation campaign

Germany accuses Russia of cyberattacks and disinformation campaign

The German government holds Russia responsible for a cyberattack on German air traffic control, and for targeted disinformation campaigns before the last federal election. According to the German Foreign Office in Berlin, the incidents could be clearly attributed to the Russian military intelligence service, the GRU. In response, the Russian ambassador to Berlin was summoned to the Foreign Ministry. "We have been observing a massive increase in threatening hybrid activities by Russia for some time now," a spokesperson for the Foreign Ministry stated. These range from disinformation campaigns and espionage to cyberattacks and sabotage attempts. The aim is to divide society, sow distrust, and undermine confidence in democratic institutions. The spokesperson added that with these actions, Russia is "very concretely threatening our security, not only through its war of aggression against Ukraine, but also here in Germany."  The Foreign Ministry spokesperson explained that the cyberattack on air traffic control in August 2024 was clearly attributed to the hacker collective "APT28," known as "Fancy Bear," and to the responsibility of the Russian military intelligence service, the GRU. Furthermore, it could now be "conclusively stated" that Russia had attempted "to influence and destabilize both the last Federal election and the ongoing internal affairs of the Federal Republic of Germany." There was "absolutely irrefutable evidence" for this". The so-called "Storm 1516" campaign, which has been running since 2024, is allegedly backed by "reliable information" that the Moscow-based think tank "Center for Geopolitical Expertise" is behind it. The Center is also said to be supported by Russian military intelligence. Its primary aim is to influence democratic elections in the West. (Click the image to read more).
Editor's choice
News
NATO Chief says war is on Europe's doorstep, and warns against complacency

NATO Chief says war is on Europe's doorstep, and warns against complacency

Russia could attack a NATO country within the next five years, the Secretary General of NATO, Mark Rutte, said in a stark new warning. "NATO's own defences can hold for now," Rutte warned in Berlin, but conflict was "next door" to Europe, and he feared "too many are quietly complacent, and too many don't feel the urgency, too many believe that time is on our side. "Russia is already escalating its covert campaign against our societies," Rutte said in a speech in Germany. "We must be prepared for the scale of war our grandparents or great-grandparents endured." Earlier this month, Russia's President Vladimir Putin said his country was not planning to go to war with Europe, but it was ready "right now" if Europe wanted to - or started a war. But similar reassurances were given by Moscow in 2022, just before 200,000 Russian troops crossed the border and invaded Ukraine. Putin has accused European countries of hindering US efforts to bring peace in Ukraine - a reference to the role Ukraine's European allies have recently played in trying to change a US peace plan to end the war, whose initial draft was seen as favouring Russia. But Putin was not sincere, Nato's secretary-general said in the German capital, Berlin. Supporting Ukraine, he added, was a guarantee for European security. "Just imagine if Putin got his way; Ukraine under the boot of Russian occupation, his forces pressing against a longer border with Nato, and the significantly increased risk of an armed attack against us." Russia's economy has been on a war footing for more than three years now - its factories churn out ever more supplies of drones, missiles and artillery shells. According to a recent report by the Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Russia has been producing each month around 150 tanks, 550 infantry fighting vehicles, 120 Lancet drones and more than 50 artillery pieces. The UK, and most of its Western allies, are simply not anywhere near this point. Analysts say it would take years for Western Europe's factories to come close to matching Russia's mass-production of weapons. "Allied defence spending and production must rise rapidly, our armed forces must have what they need to keep us safe," the Nato chief said.

Popular

Editor's choice
News
Germany accuses Russia of cyberattacks and disinformation campaign

Germany accuses Russia of cyberattacks and disinformation campaign

The German government holds Russia responsible for a cyberattack on German air traffic control, and for targeted disinformation campaigns before the last federal election. According to the German Foreign Office in Berlin, the incidents could be clearly attributed to the Russian military intelligence service, the GRU. In response, the Russian ambassador to Berlin was summoned to the Foreign Ministry. "We have been observing a massive increase in threatening hybrid activities by Russia for some time now," a spokesperson for the Foreign Ministry stated. These range from disinformation campaigns and espionage to cyberattacks and sabotage attempts. The aim is to divide society, sow distrust, and undermine confidence in democratic institutions. The spokesperson added that with these actions, Russia is "very concretely threatening our security, not only through its war of aggression against Ukraine, but also here in Germany."  The Foreign Ministry spokesperson explained that the cyberattack on air traffic control in August 2024 was clearly attributed to the hacker collective "APT28," known as "Fancy Bear," and to the responsibility of the Russian military intelligence service, the GRU. Furthermore, it could now be "conclusively stated" that Russia had attempted "to influence and destabilize both the last Federal election and the ongoing internal affairs of the Federal Republic of Germany." There was "absolutely irrefutable evidence" for this". The so-called "Storm 1516" campaign, which has been running since 2024, is allegedly backed by "reliable information" that the Moscow-based think tank "Center for Geopolitical Expertise" is behind it. The Center is also said to be supported by Russian military intelligence. Its primary aim is to influence democratic elections in the West. (Click the image to read more).