TURKEY'S CRISIS MOMENT PASSES

Turkey's Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan, yesterday chaired a three hour meeting of his security team to discuss an escalating security situation in the country's Kurdish populated regions. The meeting took place only hours after the country's Supreme Military Council, which the Prime Minister also chairs, filled the vacancies created last week with the resignation of the Chief of Staff of the Armed Forces, and the heads of the Army, Navy and Air Force.

The resignations came at the end of a period of stand-off between the military and the civilian government headed by Erdogan. Emboldened by his recent re-election victory Erdogan had refused the recommendations of the senior military command to promote officers who were implicated in planning a coup against the civilian government in 2003, and in later attempts to undermine the AK Party administration. Forty one Generals or former Generals, and many other senior officers,  are at the moment behind bars in connection with investigations around these plots.

Whilst some in Turkey saw the resignations as a serious moment of crisis, Erdogan used the situation to assert, probably for the first time since Ataturk, the control of the civilian government over the Armed Forces. The government used the scheduled meeting of the Supreme Military Council to quickly fill the vacancies, and to proceed with further promotions in the military which even government critics admit showed that the "established rules of succession were not profoundly shaken". Thus whilst standing firm, Erdogan has also been able to defuse the crisis and to ensure the support of the military in the face of an increasing security threat in the country's southeast.

There have been several serious incidents in the predominantly Kurdish poplulated regions since the Parliamentary elections in June. A number of independent MPs elected in the Kurdish areas have been denied their parliamentary mandates, and some have been jailed, for supporting the PKK, considered by the Turkish government as a terrorist organisation. There have been a number of serious PKK attacks since, which have left many Turkish soldiers dead or wounded.

Turkey is playing an increasingly important role as a regional power in the Middle East and the in Caucasus. Erdogan's victory is likely to help consolidate  the government's position of zero problems with neighbours and increasing use of Turkish "soft power" in projecting Turkish influence in the region. Erdogan however faces a number of immediate challenges in this regard also, including an ongoing crisis in Syria and a failure to unblock problems with Armenia.

This week's standoff with the military also overshadowed problems in the economic sphere which on Wednesday saw the Turkish Central Bank intervening to protect the Turkish lira in the face of ongoing global economic problems  and a widening gap in the Turkish current account balances.


prepared by the newsroom of commonspace.eu

photo: Prime Minister Erdogan chairing a meeting of his security team in Ankara yesterday (4 August 2011) Photo courtesy of the Press Office of the Prime Minister of Turkey

(c) commonspace.eu

Related articles

Editor's choice
News
Lula wins fourth term in Brazil, Vucic loses in Serbia

Lula wins fourth term in Brazil, Vucic loses in Serbia

In elections on both sides of the Atlantic, that are likely to have deep implications for their respective regions, one incumbent won, another lost. In Brazil, Latin America's biggest country, left-wing President Lula won a fourth term in office, defeating his right-wing challenger Flávio Bolsonaro. The 80-year-old, took just under 52% of the vote in a run-off on Sunday. Lula thanked cheering supporters in São Paulo and said he had defended Brazil's democracy. His opponent, Flavio Bolsonaro - who won the first round - says the result is "inexplicable" and called for it to be annulled. His father, ex-president Jair Bolsonaro, is currently serving a jail sentence under house arrest for plotting a coup after losing the last election. This election was bitterly fought - and it bucks a wider regional trend towards right-wing leaders. On the other side of the Atlantic, in Serbia, long-standing leader Aleksandar Vučić has admitted defeat to the student-led protest movement in snap parliamentary elections. "We still do not have final results... it is clear that we have lost these elections," the right-wing populist leader said as he conceded late on Sunday. Preliminary figures from Serbia's election commission indicated a record high turnout, which commentators had suggested would favour the student movement. Celebrations erupted after Vučić conceded. Vučić called the snap elections after two years of protests triggered by the collapse of a train station canopy in the city of Novi Sad, which killed 16 and was seen as emblematic of corruption and negligence. Both election results are going to have a deep impact on their respective regions.
Editor's choice
News
UN Security Council will discuss "Children and Armed Conflict" on Monday

UN Security Council will discuss "Children and Armed Conflict" on Monday

On Monday (26 October), the United Nations Security Council will hold an open briefing to mark the 30th anniversary of the establishment of the children and armed conflict mandate by the General Assembly. Greek Minister of Foreign Affairs Giorgos Gerapetritis is expected to chair the meeting, which is a signature event of Greece’s October Council presidency. The anticipated briefers are Special Representative of the Secretary-General for Children and Armed Conflict Vanessa Frazier; UNICEF Executive Director Catherine Russell; the Special Envoy for Children Affected by Armed Conflict of the African Union (AU), Jainaba Jagne; and the Director of Watchlist on Children and Armed Conflict, Bethany Ellis. Greece served as the chair of the Working Group on Children and Armed Conflict in 2025, but has yet to be reappointed this year due to the ongoing delays in the allocation of subsidiary body chairs. It has nonetheless continued to prioritise the agenda, including by promoting a resolution addressing the impact of digital technologies on the perpetration of violations and abuses against children, which was adopted unanimously on 19 October as resolution 2832 and was co-sponsored by 93 member states. (For more information, see our 18 October What’s in Blue story.) In addition to organising tomorrow’s signature event, Greece invited civil society briefers focusing on the protection of children to two Council meetings—on Yemen and Syria, on 9 and 12 October, respectively—and chaired a meeting of the Working Group on Children and Armed Conflict on 13 October. Greece has circulated a concept note ahead of tomorrow’s meeting, which says that the briefing aims to assess the progress achieved in the 30 years since the children and armed conflict agenda was established as well as the challenges it faces. (click image to read more)

Popular

Editor's choice
Interview
Thursday Interview: Murad Muradov

Thursday Interview: Murad Muradov

Today, commonspace.eu starts a new regular weekly series. THURSDAY INTERVIEW, conducted by Lauri Nikulainen, will host  persons who are thinkers, opinion shapers, and implementors in their countries and spheres. We start the series with an interview with Murad Muradov, a leading person in Azerbaijan's think tank community. He is also the first co-chair of the Action Committee for a new Armenian-Azerbaijani Dialogue. Last September he made history by being the first Azerbaijani civil society activist to visit Armenia after the 44 day war, and the start of the peace process. Speaking about this visit Murad Muradov said: "My experience was largely positive. My negative expectations luckily didn’t play out. The discussions were respectful, the panel format bringing together experts from Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Turkey was particularly valuable during the NATO Rose-Roth Seminar in Yerevan, and media coverage, while varied in tone, remained largely constructive. Some media outlets though attempted to represent me as more of a government mouthpiece than an independent expert, which was totally misleading.  Overall, I see these initiatives as important steps in rebuilding trust and normalising professional engagement. The fact that soon a larger Azerbaijani civil society visits to Armenia followed, reinforces the sense that this process is moving in the right direction." (click the image to read the interview in full)