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Conflict and Peace

Stories related to violent conflicts, diplomatic tensions, and conflict prevention, mediation and resolution.

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Commentary
The fate of Central Asia may be decided on the steppes and in the forests of Ukraine

The fate of Central Asia may be decided on the steppes and in the forests of Ukraine

Vladimir Putin was sworn in for another six-year term as the President of Russia on Tuesday, 7 May. With Putin having been the undisputed leader of Russia for decades, continuity, one would have thought, was assured. Yet Putin himself, on Monday (13 May) speaking at a meeting of the Security Council spoke of “a new political cycle” in Russia. Some of the first decisions of the re-elected president give us a sense of what is to come. First, there was the surprise dismissal of Sergei Shoigu as Minister of Defence, and his transfer to be the Secretary of the Security Council. There had been speculation for some time that Shoigu’s time at the Ministry of Defence was up. But what was surprising was the appointment of Andrei Belousov, former Deputy Prime Minister – an efficient technocrat with an economic background to replace him. That the Russian Ministry of Defence has needed a shake-up for some time has been abundantly clear, but Andrei Belousov’s mission seems to be more ambitious than that: He is tasked with transforming the Russian Defence Ministry into a modern institution that can embrace new ideas and techniques, and that has enough flexibility to conduct the sort of hybrid warfare that is likely to be the order of the day going forward. So despite all of Putin’s bravados about the Russian nuclear arsenal, it seems he is putting his faith in a more innovative, agile, and versatile force. Then on Monday, 13 May, Putin held his first meeting of the Security Council since his inauguration. The Kremlin website only referred to one item out of apparently several that were discussed, namely relations with the post-Soviet Republics, a subject much close to the heart of the president. Putin reiterated that this was a priority in foreign policy. Putin said, “we should pay even more attention to this area in the new political cycle in Russia and discuss the way we will organise this work from all points of view, including organisational”. So it appears that there is new thinking in this sphere, details of which is not yet known.

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NATO PA webinar on the South Caucasus - 30 November 2020

The NATO parliamentary Assembly hosted another in the series of Rose-Roth Seminars on Monday (30 November), focusing on the situation in the South Caucasus. Recent developments including the war in Karabakh and parliamentary elections in Georgia were discussed by an expert panel, including Dennis Sammut, Neil Melvin and Amanda Paul, after which MPs from several countries made comments and asked questions. You can watch the webinair in full here.
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News
Lavrov calls request of Moldovan president-elect to withdraw "Russian peacekeepers" from Transnistria an irresponsible demand

Lavrov calls request of Moldovan president-elect to withdraw "Russian peacekeepers" from Transnistria an irresponsible demand

For three decades Russia has pretended that its military base on the Moldovan territory of Transnistria was a "peacekeeping force", despite several attempts by the Moldovan government to end its mandate, and accusations that it promoted separatism.
Editor's choice
Opinion
Opinion: Turkey is the new major power in the South Caucasus

Opinion: Turkey is the new major power in the South Caucasus

Turkey has challenged Russian monopoly in the South Caucasus. Ankara's deep military partnership with neighboring Azerbaijan, and its decision to openly support the latter during the fighting in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict zone significantly asserted its role in the conflict and the region, argues Fuad Shahabzov in this op-ed
Editor's choice
News
New round of Syrian peace talks in Geneva this week

New round of Syrian peace talks in Geneva this week

A new round of UN-mediated Syrian peace talks are starting this week in Geneva to agree on national principles before drafting a new constitution. Geir Pedersen, the United Nations special envoy for Syria, has been pushing towards revising Syria's constitution as a step towards ending the country's nine-year-old civil war.