Relations between Azerbaijan and Russia hit an uncharacteristically low point

This is a commentary by the political editor of commonspace.eu

Relations between Azerbaijan and Russia appear to have hit an uncharacteristically low point this week.

On Tuesday (16 May), members of the Azerbaijan parliament lined up to criticise Russia following a decision by a Moscow court to accept a government request to force the closure of VAK (the All-Russia Azerbaijani Congress) - an organisation that represents the Azerbaijani diaspora in Russia, and which often also acts as a lobbying group for Azerbaijan.

Public criticism of Russia in Azerbaijan since president Ilham Aliyev came to power in 2003 has been rare, and usually limited to issues related to the Karabakh conflict.  The two sides claim that they share a strategic relationship, and President Putin has visited Baku several times in recent years in an effort to cement ties. Problems were usually dealt with in private. It seems however that now the gloves are off, and whilst the tone of the criticism of the last days varied, the messages from both government quarters and parliament were equally forceful.

The Azerbaijani foreign ministry described the decision as "a source of great regret and surprise". Hikmat Hadjiev, the Ministry spokesperson, in an uncharacteristically long and detailed comment, said that VAK "took an active part in the socio-political life of Russia, played an effective role in the diversification of Azerbaijan-Russia ties, and in the development of interregional cooperation". Hajiyev recalled that representatives of the Congress were repeatedly awarded by the highest leadership of Russia. 

"The All-Russian Azerbaijani Congress existed as an organization uniting other numerous ethnic and national minorities living in Russia. The Congress was established as a non-governmental organization on the basis of the laws of Russia and in accordance with them. Along with the Congress, there are non-governmental organizations-such as the Union of Armenians of Russia-in Russia that unite various ethnic and national groups. As regards non-governmental organizations of national minorities in the political arena, we regard such discrimination against the Congress as an unfriendly step," said Hajiyev.

The spokesman said he believes this approach will not serve the balance of interethnic relations in Russia, the concept of reforms conducted in the country, and the strengthening of intercultural dialogue, and furthermore will not hav a positive impact on Azerbaijan-Russia ties.

"In this step, we see a manifestation of ethnic discrimination and bias towards people who are citizens of Russia. Of course, if we come to the conclusion that the Armenian Diaspora has such a strong influence on Russia's domestic and foreign policy that they can influence Russian policy in this way, then, undoubtedly, this kind of threat to the prospects for the development of Azerbaijan-Russia interstate relations causes us regret," he added.

There was also in Hadjiev's comments a hint of a threat.  "The Russian Federation, as one of the main mediators in the negotiation process for a peaceful settlement of the Armenia-Azerbaijan Nagorno-Karabakh conflict for years, has made important commitments. Conscientious fulfillment of these obligations at the same time requires that the balance of relations be maintained over the issue of settling interethnic relations and the principle of justice not be violated. The liquidation of the VAK and full support for the Union of Armenians of Russia can be perceived as a manifestation of an imbalance in relation to Russian citizens of Armenian and Azerbaijani nationalities, which can negatively affect Russia's mediatory role in the settlement of the Armenia-Azerbaijan Nagorno-Karabakh conflict," he concluded. 

But whilst Hadjiev stuck to diplomatic nicities, in the Milli Meclis the MPs did not mince their words. The attack was led by Siyavoush Novruzov, a senior MP and one of the top leaders of the ruling YAP party. Speaking at a parliamentary meeting on Tuesday, Novruzov noted with regret that some people in Russia rely more on their personal interests than national interests, the news agency APA reported.

He said that Azerbaijan-Russia relations are already damaged. "Immediate actions must be taken in this regard. We have been pressurized many times by international circles because of Russia. However, we have never acted against Russia's interests," said the MP but he said urged parliament on this occasion to take a position.

"What does this mean? Has Russia no bigger problems to deal with then the All-Russian Azerbaijani Congress? There are a lot of Russian kindergartens, schools and centres in Azerbaijan. As chairman of the parliament's Committee on public unions and religious organizations, I will officially appeal to relevant bodies of Azerbaijan to submit reports on availability of documents of the Russian centres and communities in the country", he added, in a not so subtle threat.

Can the closing down of one NGO spoil a relationship that both sides have on many occasions described as strategic. Some observers think that there is much more to this than simply the closure of the VAK organisation. Whilst speaking on the issue in parliament on Tuesday,  Gudrat Hasanguliyev an MP who while officially not part of the ruling party, often delivers important messages from the government, called for "an investigation into Russia's involvement in the activity of a provocative group identified among Azerbaijani military".  Hasanguliev was speaking on the case of dozens of mid ranking military officers that last week were arrested on suspicion of espionage. Whilst initially it was thought they were suspected of spying for Armenia, later reports suggested they were in fact working for Russia.

 "Now not only Armenian, but also Russian military are against the Azerbaijani army. The presidential election will be held in Azerbaijan next year. As before and this time before the presidential election, Russia is intensifying its pressure and provocations against Azerbaijan," added Hasanguliyev in his address to fellow parliamentarians.

Underlying all this is also widespread Azerbaijani dissapointment that Russia failed in its efforts to deliver progress in the negotiations on Nagorno-Karabakh, as had been widely expected last year.

It is likely that sooner or later President Putin will try to intervene to mend fences with Baku. Over the last years he has invested a lot of time building relations with his Azerbaijani counterpart whilst nurturing relations also with the former communist nomenklatua, many of which remain positive towards Russia.

But some sections of the Azerbaijan ruling elite have traditionally had misgivings on Russia, and the latest developments only re-enforce their concerns. The issue therefore is likely to continue to unfold over the next days and weeks, and in ways that may not be fully predictable.

Source: commonspace.eu

Related articles

Editor's choice
News
Germany accuses Russia of cyberattacks and disinformation campaign

Germany accuses Russia of cyberattacks and disinformation campaign

The German government holds Russia responsible for a cyberattack on German air traffic control, and for targeted disinformation campaigns before the last federal election. According to the German Foreign Office in Berlin, the incidents could be clearly attributed to the Russian military intelligence service, the GRU. In response, the Russian ambassador to Berlin was summoned to the Foreign Ministry. "We have been observing a massive increase in threatening hybrid activities by Russia for some time now," a spokesperson for the Foreign Ministry stated. These range from disinformation campaigns and espionage to cyberattacks and sabotage attempts. The aim is to divide society, sow distrust, and undermine confidence in democratic institutions. The spokesperson added that with these actions, Russia is "very concretely threatening our security, not only through its war of aggression against Ukraine, but also here in Germany."  The Foreign Ministry spokesperson explained that the cyberattack on air traffic control in August 2024 was clearly attributed to the hacker collective "APT28," known as "Fancy Bear," and to the responsibility of the Russian military intelligence service, the GRU. Furthermore, it could now be "conclusively stated" that Russia had attempted "to influence and destabilize both the last Federal election and the ongoing internal affairs of the Federal Republic of Germany." There was "absolutely irrefutable evidence" for this". The so-called "Storm 1516" campaign, which has been running since 2024, is allegedly backed by "reliable information" that the Moscow-based think tank "Center for Geopolitical Expertise" is behind it. The Center is also said to be supported by Russian military intelligence. Its primary aim is to influence democratic elections in the West. (Click the image to read more).
Editor's choice
News
NATO Chief says war is on Europe's doorstep, and warns against complacency

NATO Chief says war is on Europe's doorstep, and warns against complacency

Russia could attack a NATO country within the next five years, the Secretary General of NATO, Mark Rutte, said in a stark new warning. "NATO's own defences can hold for now," Rutte warned in Berlin, but conflict was "next door" to Europe, and he feared "too many are quietly complacent, and too many don't feel the urgency, too many believe that time is on our side. "Russia is already escalating its covert campaign against our societies," Rutte said in a speech in Germany. "We must be prepared for the scale of war our grandparents or great-grandparents endured." Earlier this month, Russia's President Vladimir Putin said his country was not planning to go to war with Europe, but it was ready "right now" if Europe wanted to - or started a war. But similar reassurances were given by Moscow in 2022, just before 200,000 Russian troops crossed the border and invaded Ukraine. Putin has accused European countries of hindering US efforts to bring peace in Ukraine - a reference to the role Ukraine's European allies have recently played in trying to change a US peace plan to end the war, whose initial draft was seen as favouring Russia. But Putin was not sincere, Nato's secretary-general said in the German capital, Berlin. Supporting Ukraine, he added, was a guarantee for European security. "Just imagine if Putin got his way; Ukraine under the boot of Russian occupation, his forces pressing against a longer border with Nato, and the significantly increased risk of an armed attack against us." Russia's economy has been on a war footing for more than three years now - its factories churn out ever more supplies of drones, missiles and artillery shells. According to a recent report by the Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Russia has been producing each month around 150 tanks, 550 infantry fighting vehicles, 120 Lancet drones and more than 50 artillery pieces. The UK, and most of its Western allies, are simply not anywhere near this point. Analysts say it would take years for Western Europe's factories to come close to matching Russia's mass-production of weapons. "Allied defence spending and production must rise rapidly, our armed forces must have what they need to keep us safe," the Nato chief said.

Popular

Editor's choice
News
Germany accuses Russia of cyberattacks and disinformation campaign

Germany accuses Russia of cyberattacks and disinformation campaign

The German government holds Russia responsible for a cyberattack on German air traffic control, and for targeted disinformation campaigns before the last federal election. According to the German Foreign Office in Berlin, the incidents could be clearly attributed to the Russian military intelligence service, the GRU. In response, the Russian ambassador to Berlin was summoned to the Foreign Ministry. "We have been observing a massive increase in threatening hybrid activities by Russia for some time now," a spokesperson for the Foreign Ministry stated. These range from disinformation campaigns and espionage to cyberattacks and sabotage attempts. The aim is to divide society, sow distrust, and undermine confidence in democratic institutions. The spokesperson added that with these actions, Russia is "very concretely threatening our security, not only through its war of aggression against Ukraine, but also here in Germany."  The Foreign Ministry spokesperson explained that the cyberattack on air traffic control in August 2024 was clearly attributed to the hacker collective "APT28," known as "Fancy Bear," and to the responsibility of the Russian military intelligence service, the GRU. Furthermore, it could now be "conclusively stated" that Russia had attempted "to influence and destabilize both the last Federal election and the ongoing internal affairs of the Federal Republic of Germany." There was "absolutely irrefutable evidence" for this". The so-called "Storm 1516" campaign, which has been running since 2024, is allegedly backed by "reliable information" that the Moscow-based think tank "Center for Geopolitical Expertise" is behind it. The Center is also said to be supported by Russian military intelligence. Its primary aim is to influence democratic elections in the West. (Click the image to read more).