Expert:

Neither in Washington nor in Brussels they are pleased with a fact that the Russians have started independently operating in the Karabakh issue, one of the initiators of the Karabakh movement in 1988, the known analyst Igor Muradyan told ArmInfo correspondent.

"For this reason, raising of a small conflict at the line of contact between the armed forces of Armenia and Azerbaijan is very much possible, at least to demonstrate to the Russians their inability to rule settlement processes. This may also happen so that to prove once again inability of the CSTO and cast doubt upon the Armenian-Russian strategical union", - he said.

Muradyan thinks that although Russia, the USA and France act in a single link in Karabakh settlement, the West simply assumes a mask that it allows Moscow to make independent steps, to rule the settlement process so that to lead it to any result. At present Moscow has been acting in this regime, which seems to be false, as neither Europeans nor Americans will let the Russians to independently lead the process to any noticeable result.

The Americans have been flirting with Russians, which they need in Afghanistan. As for the Europeans, they need Russians like customers of armament and suppliers of energy resources.

Saying that in general activeness of the Americans in the Caucasus has really fallen, Muradyan said one should strictly differentiate interests and activeness. He thinks that the interests of the USA still remain the same as they were earlier.

"The Caucasus is the first stage of the global Western direction on restraining China and creation of the restraining zone around it. Then Central Asia comes. Until this restraining is still relevant today, the Caucasus will not be at a loose end", - Muradyan said.

At the same time, he thinks that the USA cannot let itself such a luxury like leaving the Caucasus and EurAsia forever. It is absurd, as if the USA leaves the Caucasus, it will a priori stop being an operating superpower in the EurAsia.

"For this reason, everything will result in lack of active tasks of the American policy in the Caucasus. Against such a background, first of all they should arrange with the Russians not to be so eager to reach new positions. Undoubtedly, these two superpowers have opportunities to make arrangements in small matters, though Nagorny Karabakh is not such a small matter as it seems to be at first sight", - he concluded.  

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