Another Nalbandian-Mammadyarov meeting is scheduled to take place in Moscow on Friday. Can Russia repeat 2 November 2008?

A meeting between the Foreign Ministers of Armenia and Azerbaijan is scheduled to take place in Moscow on Friday (4 April). Minister Nalbandian of Armenia and Minister Mammadyarov of Azerbaijan will be in Moscow to attend a meeting of Foreign Ministers of the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS). Ukraine, which holds the chairmanship of the CIS for this year, has suspended its participation in the organisation following the Russian annexation of Crimea.

The meeting will be facilitated by the chairmen of the OSCE Minsk Process - France, Russia and the United States. Their attempts to arrange for a meeting of the Presidents of Armenia and Azerbaijan in the Hague during the Nuclear Safety summit in March failed. The mediators hope that during the meeting of the Foreign Ministers enough common ground can be found for a meeting between the two Presidents soon after. The Minsk Process is struggling to remain relevant despite the current international situation following the Russian military intervention and annexation of Crimea, and regardless of criticism from different quarters for its failure to bring about a settlement of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. The differences between Armenia and Azerbaijan were highlighted last week during the vote on Ukraine in the UN General Assembly where Azerbaijan was one of a hundred countries supporting the resolution supporting Ukraine's territorial integrity whilst Armenia joined Russia and nine other countries in voting against.

Russian diplomats hope that they could achieve a similar success as the one they scored on 2 November 2008, where after the Georgia-Russia war and Russia's recognition of the independence of Abkhazia and South Ossetia, they managed to persuade the Armenian and Azerbaijani leaders to travel to Moscow and sign a document committing themselves to the peace process. On that occasion Russia was able to draw a difference in its approach to the Karabakh conflict as distinct from its military role in Georgia.

Russia on this occasion too is keen to show that it is able to adopt different tactics in dealing with situations in the former Soviet republics where it claims a privileged position. The November 2008 Moscow meeting and declaration was followed by an intensive period of Russian led mediation between Armenia and Azerbaijan during the time when Dimitri Medvedev was president. The process however failed to produce a breakthrough, and international mediators have been trying to bring the negotiations back on track for over two years without much success.

source: commonspace.eu

photo: Foreign Minister Mammadyarov of Azerbaijan and Foreign Minister Nalbandian of Armenia at a previous meeting organised with the help of the OSCE Minsk Group co-chair countries (archive picture courtesy of bthe Armenian Foreign Ministry).

Related articles

Editor's choice
News
Germany accuses Russia of cyberattacks and disinformation campaign

Germany accuses Russia of cyberattacks and disinformation campaign

The German government holds Russia responsible for a cyberattack on German air traffic control, and for targeted disinformation campaigns before the last federal election. According to the German Foreign Office in Berlin, the incidents could be clearly attributed to the Russian military intelligence service, the GRU. In response, the Russian ambassador to Berlin was summoned to the Foreign Ministry. "We have been observing a massive increase in threatening hybrid activities by Russia for some time now," a spokesperson for the Foreign Ministry stated. These range from disinformation campaigns and espionage to cyberattacks and sabotage attempts. The aim is to divide society, sow distrust, and undermine confidence in democratic institutions. The spokesperson added that with these actions, Russia is "very concretely threatening our security, not only through its war of aggression against Ukraine, but also here in Germany."  The Foreign Ministry spokesperson explained that the cyberattack on air traffic control in August 2024 was clearly attributed to the hacker collective "APT28," known as "Fancy Bear," and to the responsibility of the Russian military intelligence service, the GRU. Furthermore, it could now be "conclusively stated" that Russia had attempted "to influence and destabilize both the last Federal election and the ongoing internal affairs of the Federal Republic of Germany." There was "absolutely irrefutable evidence" for this". The so-called "Storm 1516" campaign, which has been running since 2024, is allegedly backed by "reliable information" that the Moscow-based think tank "Center for Geopolitical Expertise" is behind it. The Center is also said to be supported by Russian military intelligence. Its primary aim is to influence democratic elections in the West. (Click the image to read more).
Editor's choice
News
NATO Chief says war is on Europe's doorstep, and warns against complacency

NATO Chief says war is on Europe's doorstep, and warns against complacency

Russia could attack a NATO country within the next five years, the Secretary General of NATO, Mark Rutte, said in a stark new warning. "NATO's own defences can hold for now," Rutte warned in Berlin, but conflict was "next door" to Europe, and he feared "too many are quietly complacent, and too many don't feel the urgency, too many believe that time is on our side. "Russia is already escalating its covert campaign against our societies," Rutte said in a speech in Germany. "We must be prepared for the scale of war our grandparents or great-grandparents endured." Earlier this month, Russia's President Vladimir Putin said his country was not planning to go to war with Europe, but it was ready "right now" if Europe wanted to - or started a war. But similar reassurances were given by Moscow in 2022, just before 200,000 Russian troops crossed the border and invaded Ukraine. Putin has accused European countries of hindering US efforts to bring peace in Ukraine - a reference to the role Ukraine's European allies have recently played in trying to change a US peace plan to end the war, whose initial draft was seen as favouring Russia. But Putin was not sincere, Nato's secretary-general said in the German capital, Berlin. Supporting Ukraine, he added, was a guarantee for European security. "Just imagine if Putin got his way; Ukraine under the boot of Russian occupation, his forces pressing against a longer border with Nato, and the significantly increased risk of an armed attack against us." Russia's economy has been on a war footing for more than three years now - its factories churn out ever more supplies of drones, missiles and artillery shells. According to a recent report by the Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Russia has been producing each month around 150 tanks, 550 infantry fighting vehicles, 120 Lancet drones and more than 50 artillery pieces. The UK, and most of its Western allies, are simply not anywhere near this point. Analysts say it would take years for Western Europe's factories to come close to matching Russia's mass-production of weapons. "Allied defence spending and production must rise rapidly, our armed forces must have what they need to keep us safe," the Nato chief said.

Popular

Editor's choice
News
Germany accuses Russia of cyberattacks and disinformation campaign

Germany accuses Russia of cyberattacks and disinformation campaign

The German government holds Russia responsible for a cyberattack on German air traffic control, and for targeted disinformation campaigns before the last federal election. According to the German Foreign Office in Berlin, the incidents could be clearly attributed to the Russian military intelligence service, the GRU. In response, the Russian ambassador to Berlin was summoned to the Foreign Ministry. "We have been observing a massive increase in threatening hybrid activities by Russia for some time now," a spokesperson for the Foreign Ministry stated. These range from disinformation campaigns and espionage to cyberattacks and sabotage attempts. The aim is to divide society, sow distrust, and undermine confidence in democratic institutions. The spokesperson added that with these actions, Russia is "very concretely threatening our security, not only through its war of aggression against Ukraine, but also here in Germany."  The Foreign Ministry spokesperson explained that the cyberattack on air traffic control in August 2024 was clearly attributed to the hacker collective "APT28," known as "Fancy Bear," and to the responsibility of the Russian military intelligence service, the GRU. Furthermore, it could now be "conclusively stated" that Russia had attempted "to influence and destabilize both the last Federal election and the ongoing internal affairs of the Federal Republic of Germany." There was "absolutely irrefutable evidence" for this". The so-called "Storm 1516" campaign, which has been running since 2024, is allegedly backed by "reliable information" that the Moscow-based think tank "Center for Geopolitical Expertise" is behind it. The Center is also said to be supported by Russian military intelligence. Its primary aim is to influence democratic elections in the West. (Click the image to read more).