Российский политолог: Москва будет добиваться прекращения военных действий между Арменией и Азербайджаном любыми доступными способами.

 Москва будет добиваться прекращения военных действий между Арменией и Азербайджаном любыми доступными способами. Подобное мнение в интервью АрмИнфо выразил научный сотрудник Института политических и социальных исследований Черноморско-Каспийского региона, политолог Андрей Арешев.

"Ожидать от Москвы повторения сценария 08.08.08 в случае перерастания карабахского конфликта в широкомасштабную войну между Арменией и Азербайджаном, на мой взгляд, нельзя. Не думаю, что какой-либо сценарий может быть повторён со стопроцентной вероятностью, однако некоторые общие черты, думаю, проследить будет можно. Во всяком случае, полагаю, что Москва будет добиваться прекращения военных действий любыми доступными способами", - заметил он.

По мнению Арешева, обострение ситуации не только на границах Нагорного Карабаха с Азербайджаном, но и на северном участке армяно-азербайджанской границы может свидетельствовать о том, что Азербайджаном прощупываются все возможные варианты действий на случай войны. В то же время, комментируя возможные причины нагнетания обстановки именно на северном направлении армяно-азербайджанской границы, политолог заметил, что ни для кого не является секретом то, что позиции армянской стороны в Тавушском марзе несколько более уязвимы в связи с особенностями природного ландшафта и относительной близостью населенных пунктов к границе.

"Возможно, речь идет о морально-психологическом давлении Азербайджана на приграничные армянские поселения. Высказывались по этому поводу и другие версии, в частности, связанные с процессами военного строительства и обучения <мастеров> диверсионного дела на азербайджанской стороне. У меня нет сомнений в том, что соответствующие службы в Армении сделают правильные выводы и ситуации и предпримут всё необходимое для укрепления проблемных участков приграничной полосы", - подытожил Арешев.

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