Российский политолог:

По всей видимости, процесс урегулирования нагорно-карабахского конфликта на данный момент уже вошел в некую турбулентную фазу.

Подобное мнение в интервью АрмИнфо выразил научный сотрудник Института политических и социальных исследований Черноморско-Каспийского региона, политолог Андрей Арешев.

"После сравнительно неудачной встречи президентов Армении, России и Азербайджана в Казани надеяться на какие-то положительные развития в обозримом будущем не приходится, поскольку после Казани стороны остались при своих позициях. Если бы это было не так, то обязательно было бы объявлено о следующей встрече, причем в особом порядке. Этого сделано не было, причем не из-за того, что посреднические усилия России были недостаточными - это следствие природы конфликта", - заметил он.

После очевидного провала встречи в Казани, по словам политолога, последовали определенные дипломатические маневры, в которых значительную роль играла российская дипломатия. Речь идет о визитах глав МИД Армении и Азербайджана в Москву и визитах их российского коллеги Лаврова в Ереван и Баку. Также немаловажна последняя встреча Дмитрия Медведева и Ильхама Алиева в Сочи, после чего стало известно, что Алиев не поедет на саммит глав-государств СНГ в Душанбе.

"Мне кажется, что итоги встречи Медведева и Алиева и факт не приезда лидера Азербайджана в Душанбе прямо взаимосвязаны, потому что совершенно очевидно, что Баку ожидает от посредников Минской группы ОБСЕ большей склонности к учету своей официальной позиции", - подчеркнул Арешев.

По мнению политолога, также очевидно, что позиция сопредседателей по Карабаху достаточно сбалансирована и именно поэтому вызывает определенно недовольство со стороны азербайджанских властей. Это положительный фактор, поскольку он снижает вероятность военного разрешения нагорно-карабахского конфликта, что является предметом серьезного беспокойства и российской, и американской дипломатии.

"Недавнее заявление после РФ в Армении Вячеслава Коваленко, суть которого сводилась к тому, что Москва готова в полном объеме выполнить свои союзнические обязательства в рамках ОДКБ перед Арменией, наглядное тому свидетельство", - подытожил российский политолог.

 

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