Эксперт:

Готовность Армении к компромиссам - залог успешной "продажи труб" посредниками Минской группы ОБСЕ по мирному урегулированию нагорно-карабахского конфликта, поскольку именно этим, по сути, они и занимаются. Подобное мнение в ходе состоявшегося в НОФ "Нораванк" семинара "Нагорно-карабахский конфликт: сценарии военно-политического противостояния" выразил заместитель руководителя Центра политических исследований НОФ "Нораванк", военный эксперт Сергей Саркисян.

"Для посредников сегодня, как, впрочем, и всегда главное - продать трубы. При этом, для них даже неважно течет по этим трубам нефть или газ или не течет. Главное, чтобы эти магистрали не подверглись уничтожению или угрозе уничтожения. В этом контексте, для любой посреднической миссии очень важно добиться хоть какого-то компромисса от сторон конфликта или хотя бы готовности к компромиссу. Азербайджан все эти годы выступал с непреклонной, агрессивной позиции, исключающей какие-либо уступки в процессе урегулирования. На этом фоне, как минимум до позапрошлого года армянская сторона готовность к этим уступкам, по крайней мере, устно, выражала. Именно поэтому усилия посреднической миссии в основном адресовались в первую очередь армянской стороне конфликта, так как, по сути, посредникам было безразлично какая из сторон пойдет, а какая нет на эти уступки", - заметил он.

Тем не менее, по словам эксперта, на сегодняшний день ситуация изменилась, поскольку армянские стороны карабахского конфликта, исчерпав лимит предполагаемых уступок, дошли до красной линии.

"Таким образом, на этом фоне, сегодня и теоретически и практически предполагаемое урегулирование может быть лишь мирным, или же военным посредством возобновления боевых действий со стороны Азербайджана. Не исключено также достижение промежуточного соглашения в случае наличия уж очень сильного давления на Армению и Азербайджан со стороны стран-посредников. При этом, в любом случае именно трубы а не само урегулирование являются основной миссией посредников", - подытожил Саркисян.  Минская группа ОБСЕ, представленная сопредседателями от России, США и Франции, занимается урегулированием карабахского конфликта с 1992 года.

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