LINKS публикует пятый по счету обзор, посвященный армянским парламентским выборам, фокусируясь на позиции сторон по карабахскому вопросу

В пятой части своей серии обзоров по парламентским выборам в Армении в 2012 году, LINKS Анализ фокусируется на том, как партий, принимающие участие в выборах, решают вопрос о Нагорном Карабахе и на то, какой путь в будущем предлагают нам армянские политики для решения этого вопроса.

В заключении LINKS Анализ сообщает:

"На самом деле ни один из политиков не хочет, чтобы Карабах стал темой нынешней избирательной кампании, потому что это потребует от них дать ответы, которых они не имеют, или предпочитают не раскрывать, о том, как они будут иметь дело с решениями, которые должны быть приняты в ближайшие годы. Для армянских политических партий Нагорный Карабах слон в комнате, с которым им рано или поздно предстоит иметь дело.

Многие наблюдатели данного конфликта считают, что ситуация вокруг Нагорного Карабаха придет к какому-то решающему моменту в течение следующих пяти лет. Это может быть либо прорыв в переговорах, вызванный давлением международного сообщества, или эскалация военных действий низкой интенсивности, которые продолжают происходить ежедневно на линии фронта.Тотальная война тоже возможна, но маловероятна. При любом сценарии армянские политики должны занять определенную позицию. Независимо от того, что это будет они не делятся этой позицией с армянскими избирателями, которые по этому вопросу имеют очень маленький выбор между позициями партий, и можно только догадываться, какой будет позиция различных партий в любом будущем сценарий.

Вопрос, который часто задают "Действительно ли армяне в самой Армении заботятся о нагорно-карабахском конфликте?" Нет сомнений, что конфликт утомил и многие армяне предпочитают, чтобы их страна больше сосредоточилась на ее развитии. Однако это не означает, что людям не все равно, что случится с Карабахом, и политики должны все время держать это во внимании.

В тоже время армянские политики должны понять, почему, несмотря на то, что неурегулированные конфликты влияют и на другие постсоветские страны - Грузия, Молдова и Азербайджан, и, несмотря на тот факт, что из этих четырех Армения является единственной страной, которая утверждает, что "победила" в конфликте, как остальные три страны нашли способ двигаться дальше, в то время, как для Армении, Карабах продолжает нести ответственность, которую армянское государство несет на своей спине, оставив мало места для маневров. Изменение этой ситуации в более реалистичную и устойчивую потребует от армянских политиков мужества и дальновидности. На данный момент, если у них это и есть, то они не говорят никому об этом".

 

Вы можете прочитать полный обзор на английском языке на сайте LINKS Анализ

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